TIMESONLINE
Israel plans for war with Iran and Syria
Uzi Mahnaimi, Tel Aviv, and Sarah Baxter, New York
THREATENED by a potentially nuclear-armed Tehran, Israel is
preparing for a possible war with both Iran and Syria, according
to Israeli political and military sources.
The conflict with Hezbollah has led to a strategic rethink in
Israel. A key conclusion is that too much attention has been
paid to Palestinian militants in Gaza and the West Bank instead
of the two biggest state sponsors of terrorism in the region,
who pose a far greater danger to Israel’s existence, defence
insiders say.
“The challenge from Iran and Syria is now top of the Israeli
defence agenda, higher than the Palestinian one,” said an
Israeli defence source. Shortly before the war in Lebanon
Major-General Eliezer Shkedi, the commander of the air force,
was placed in charge of the “Iranian front”, a new position in
the Israeli Defence Forces. His job will be to command any
future strikes on Iran and Syria.
The Israeli defence establishment believes that Iran’s pursuit
of a nuclear programme means war is likely to become unavoidable.
“In the past we prepared for a possible military strike against
Iran’s nuclear facilities,” said one insider, “but Iran’s
growing confidence after the war in Lebanon means we have to
prepare for a full-scale war, in which Syria will be an
important player.”
A new infantry brigade has been formed named Kfir (lion cub),
which will be the largest in the Israeli army. “It is a partial
solution for the challenge of the Syrian commando brigades,
which are considered better than Hezbollah’s,” a military source
said.
There has been grave concern in Israel over a military pact
signed in Tehran on June 15 between Iran and Syria, which the
Iranian defence minister described as a “mutual front against
Israeli threats”. Israel has not had to fight against more than
one army since 1973.
During the war in Lebanon, Ali Akbar Mohtashamipour, the Iranian
founder of Hezbollah, warned: “If the Americans attack Iran,
Iran will attack Tel Aviv with missiles.”
According to the International Institute for Strategic Studies
in London, both Iran and Syria have ballistic missiles that can
cover most of Israel, including Tel Aviv. An emergency budget
has now been assigned to building modern shelters.
“The ineptness of the Israeli Defence Forces against Hezbollah
has raised the Iranians’ confidence,” said a leading defence
analyst.
In Washington, the military hawks believe that an airstrike
against Iranian nuclear bunkers remains a more straightforward,
if risky, operation than chasing Hezbollah fighters and their
mobile rocket launchers in Lebanon.
“Fixed targets are hopelessly vulnerable to precision bombing,
and with stealth bombers even a robust air defence system
doesn’t make much difference,” said Richard Perle, a leading
neoconservative.
The option of an eventual attack remains on the table after
President George Bush warned on Friday that Iran must not be
allowed to develop nuclear weapons.
While the American State Department favours engaging with
President Bashar Assad of Syria in the hope of detaching him
from the Iranian alliance, hawks believe Israel missed a golden
opportunity to strike at Syria during the Hezbollah conflict.
“If they had acted against Syria during this last kerfuffle, the
war might have ended more quickly and better,” Perle added.
“Syrian military installations are sitting ducks and the Syrian
air force could have been destroyed on the ground in a couple of
days.” Assad set off alarm bells in Israel when he said during
the war in Lebanon: “If we do not obtain the occupied Golan
Heights by peaceful means, the resistance option is there.”
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